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Pavan Sukhdev: you can have progress without GDP-led growth

Tom Levitt

22nd January, 2010

Deutsche Bank economist Pavan Sukhdev is heading up the groundbreaking TEEB (The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity) report and doing for nature what Sir Nicholas Stern did for climate change - valuing it


Tom Levitt: Why are we putting a value on nature, why don't we just close off and protect it?


Pavan Sukhdev: The Ecologist may say that but there are a hundred thousand other people who are social NGOs and politicians looking for votes at the next election who will say, ah ha! that is just an ecologist talking who loves nature and does not care for your well-being because guess what I have built a railroad, built a bridge, given you a job and provided you with an electricity connection. 



That is the person the Ecologist needs to answer, by saying ecology - in other words natural capital - used properly can also give you the jobs that you seek.

Forest maintained can also provide the poor with the fresh water that they want and guess what, yes you need to build bridges but you can do that in a way that is more earth-friendly, less carbon intensive in manufacture and creates some local opportunity as opposed to just profits for the builders who built the bridge. 



You have to have counter arguments that are being made explicitly or implicitly because sometimes this is not even said and people just go-ahead and destroy and there is no question of listening to the ecologist because he is "just a greenie who loves nature".

People are not even looking at the economic value of the conservation alternative or the natural capital value of nature.



TL: Do you think politicians and economists actually understand the terms 'ecosystem services' and 'biodiversity'?

PS: A lot of them do. You can go back to Obama's acceptance speech when he talked about: ‘harnessing the power of the wind and the waves, harnessing sunlight, freeing ourselves from the shackles of oil’.

He was talking about a better understanding of nature and what it brings to us and how we can leverage it into our economies better instead of the way we do it now, which is to dig it from the ancient sunlight buried millions of years ago.



Listen Listen: Pavan Sukdev on the failure of politicians to understand nature and how progress is possible without economic growth





TL: Could those same politicians and economists also name their country’s natural assets?

PS: Some perhaps could but yes, nature is still seen as a specialist subject. They are not seeing it as natural capital. That is basically what is missing.

They are seeing it as a sector, for example the forestry sector, that has profitable opportunities with sustainable management and they know it makes 17 per cent returns. 

But they just see it as a sector.

What I am trying to say out here is that hang on, it is not just a sector: it is like saying that physical capital is just a sector. The fact that it is a capital upon which all other natural capital rests is something that is not properly appreciated.

The irony is that the poor would list nature as their key asset. The level of awareness in the village is there. They know climate change is happening; that the flowers flowered at a different time last year than 10-20 years ago. They know something is going wrong. They know that water is only available to them only after they have drilled an extra 10 or 20 feet into the ground.

They know things about nature that the average city dweller does not and I think that says a lot.

TL: So how will understanding the value of nature enable the market to protect rather than just trade it?

PS: You can quantify the value of something but you do not necessarily have to imply that it becomes tradable. I value my wife and daughters tremendously, but that doesn't mean that they become marketable commodities: I would not buy or sell them!


What you buy and sell is stuff that is able to be identified, privately owned and marketed. A market does not sell a public good. Pigs will fly before markets trade public goods. The only way you can get a public good into the marketplace is to first create a private liability or private asset.

Carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions are public bads that have been made into private bads by setting targets at the national and company level so that they become a private bad and therefore a liability and you can start trading them.

TL: What needs to happen to make this work?


PS:
It needs a willingness to pay. It needs a sense of commitment amongst global leadership that we are in this together and we really need a Copenhagen-type deal.

I don't think the onus of responsibility should be on the UN. The G20 controls 80-85 per cent of economic production and 75-80 per cent of global emissions. The UN is a vehicle where people can meet but why should they wait when the G20 meets twice a year. The leaders can meet and decide in a smaller group. 



If a group like the G20 moves in the right direction then it will be so much easier for the remaining 172 countries to follow. 



TL: How can you mainstream these ideas?

PS: Basic poverty needs to be addressed, in other words food and shelter. Otherwise there is no point in discussing the finer qualities and the environment. 



With a lot of respect to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), we still haven't succeeded in that and I think part of the reason for that failure is that we never bothered to see the connections. You can't deprive families of the basics and promise them a job in a factory and somehow expect that to be alright.

Unfortunately, that seems to be the model of development that most countries are going for. They are depriving the poor of something - nature's goods and services - and trying to provide something else.

If families have the basics they can save a little bit and put it into a child's education and that is how the next generation become more educated, capable and involved. I've seen this happen on the ground, it is how real development works.

It does not work by deprivation first and addition later. It works by simultaneous conservation of what you have and adding later.

TL: Can we have progress without economic growth?

PS: You can in some circumstances but you can't in others. What I am talking about is lifecycle. It is possible for a pupa to become a butterfly but it is not possible for a caterpillar to become a butterfly without first being a pupa. 



At a certain stage I believe that almost any society can reach stages where progress does not result in, or correlate with, getting bigger, i.e. GDP, but progress relates to quality of life as in improved environment, relationships, reduced poverty, inequalities, better protected ecosystems.

I do believe society can get better, people can get happier and economies can get more robust whilst not actually increasing GDP, production or growing in the classical way.

TL: So what's the vision?

PS: The 'green economy'. It will come in stages, an evolutionary process. But it needs to be encouraged in that direction.

The green economy is the only sustaining economy. It is one that values its natural resources properly and uses them sparingly and for the right intent.

It makes use of its natural capital rather than wasting it. 

To suggest that you can burn capital and think you have done a good job is wrong. If you were cold you wouldn't pull out a window frame or door from your house and burn it. Every time you want a new jersey, you wouldn't rip up your carpets.

But we do that within a bigger context in terms of natural assets and that attitude has to stop.

Tom Levitt is the Ecologist's news editor

Useful links

TEEB biography of Pavan SukhdevAdd to StumbleUpon

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Users Comments

Re: Pavan Sukhdev: you can have progress without GDP-led growth
Posted By EC017608 1 January 25, 2010 12:42:10 PM

Is this kind of sloppy analysis part of an Ecologist campaign against understanding growth? Growth is not 'production', it is the changing financial value of economic activity. Economic activity can pursue value in different ways and Sukhdev is right to say that conventional destructive 'development' is not progress. What this article and others in the Ecologist's apparent 'anti-understanding-growth' campaign are ignoring is the ease with which economic activity could be redirected from destructive to positive. We can create financial, social and economic value by expanding natural capital. Do this faster and GDP goes up. It's not rocket-science. An interview with Sukhdev should have asked about the unintended harm that is being done by the trend of valuing and then paying for nature. Valuing nature can avoid commodification of nature only by switching society's concept of 'ownership' from mastery to guardianship. This switch is explored in research for NATO (with reference to Sukhdev) in section 6.2 of http://www.wiserearth.org/resource/view/2f007297ce994215d709c47f4c9230a1 BTW Ecologist, it would be nice to have a commenting forum that vaguely works. Please can you tame the gremlin that automatically log everyone out after a few minutes. Let us choose for ourselves how long to stay logged-in, and while you're at it, get the techies to fix your databasing so people can choose their own usernames rather than be branded with their subscriber number. What does it say about your vision for society if you are prepared to treat us as numbers?

Re: Pavan Sukhdev: you can have progress without GDP-led growth
Posted By paulross 1 January 28, 2010 01:48:22 PM

I agree entirely with Sukhdev's comments. It highlights the core point made many years ago by Dr Albert Bartlett that growth is an exponential function which results in (periodic doubling) - as such growth in the use of any resource will sooner or later become all consuming. Bartlett believes that the lack of understanding of the exponential nature of doubling is at the heart of the farcical decisions made by our politicians. (Me I think the know what they are doing and don't give a dam about the long term_) Bartletts lecture is at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-QA2rkpBSY -

Re: Pavan Sukhdev: you can have progress without GDP-led growth
Posted By EC017608 1 January 28, 2010 03:29:34 PM

Hi Paul, I agree about exponential growth in resource use and also that politicians know this already very well. What you may be missing (because journalists and magazines habitually miss it too?) is that economic growth doesn't measure resource flows, it measures financial flows. Financial flows have been chained to resources flows throughout history only because externalities have been kept external to markets. This could be changed anytime we wished to do it as a society but we'd probably have to understand how growth works first. James Greyson http://www.wiserearth.org/resource/view/2f007297ce994215d709c47f4c9230a1
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